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p-value

By Sitraka Forler · Lecturer, Durham Business SchoolUpdated 13 September 2026 About this site

Probability of observing the result if the null hypothesis is true.

In finance research, a p-value < 0.05 is conventionally "statistically significant". However, with many tests (data mining), even true p-values can appear small by chance - the multiple-testing problem.

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